Fantasy Football

6 Comments

Fantasy Football: Thursday Night Football and its Impact on Lineup Decisions

Wednesday, September 18, 2013 @ 09:09 AM EDT - by Salvatore Stefanile -

Salvatore Stefanile is a member of the Fantasy Sports Writers Association and believes that 2-QB fantasy football leagues will be the future of fantasy football. You can read about his 2-QB fantasy football opinions and analysis at XNSports.com.


6 comments
ynot
ynot

Doesnt seem like a well thought out article. " One out of 3 odds that your starting quarterback on TNF will put up QB1 numbers is not a flattering percentage to rely on in 1-QB leagues." If there are 32 starting QBs in the league, the odds that the QBs on TNF put up QB1 numbers SHOULD be 1 out of 3. It would have been much more interesting to have a look at how the different QBs scored compared to how they ranked for that full season. Say, if the player that finished the season as QB9 ended up being QB15 on TNF you give him a -6 score. This way you can find out how much better/worse the QBs do on average when they have to play TNF. Based on your article my guess would be that the number would be pretty close to 0.

Salvatore Stefanile
Salvatore Stefanile

The article was about looking at how fantasy quarterbacks that played in Thursday Night Football games finished in terms of fantasy quarterback scoring in the weeks they played on Thursday Night. If you have a QB1 on your team, you want them to finish in the Top-12 of QB scoring for that week, in 12 team leagues, and Top-10 for 10 team leagues. There's been lots of talk about how you shouldn't play your fantasy guys if they have a Thursday Night Game match-up, and all I did was to look at the numbers, and see their end of week QB rank. 1 out of 3 QBs put up QB1 numbers. You say they should be 1 out of 3, but what if all TNF QBs magically had great games that week and all the QBs put up QB1 numbers. Realistic? No. Possible? Probably not. But that could have still been the case. Anything is possible. The 1 out of 3 is what occurred, and I just wanted to show it in a percentage form. Your suggestion of comparing them to how they finished the season is a valid one, and would be interesting to see the results. Let me know if you end up doing that, and if you could pass along your findings, I'd like to see them. But just remember, we're not looking to see how those QBs finish on the season, just how they do for that one week. Fantasy football is a weekly game.

ynot
ynot

The thing is that you present it as if they do worse on TNF than on other nights. On any given night you expect only 1 out of 3 QBs to perform as QB1s in a 10 team league. All the numbers you presented only verifies that TNF is just as playing any other night.

Salvatore Stefanile
Salvatore Stefanile

Like I said earlier, you made a valid point. And that would be an interesting way to go about it. This was never about looking at whether or not QBs are worse or better in TNF games compared to other weeks. It was about looking at how QBs performed in TNF games. That's all. The numbers are the numbers. 1 out of every 3 TNF QBs finished outside the Top-12 of fantasy scoring QBs that week. If all QBs that played in TNF performed at a Top-12 level the numbers then would have been 100%. If all TNF QBs performed outside the Top-12, the numbers would have been 0%. It's not about expectations, it's about results. All this article was doing was presenting the results. If you put the time into researching TNF QB weekly scoring finishes vs every other week, I'd like to read that. Would make a great article. This is not that article, unfortunately. Sorry.

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