I will mention that I generally do not pick two players playing against each other in the same game for a daily fantasy hockey lineup. The same applies for a goalie and a player from opposite teams. You might see two players among the “value picks” from opposite teams, but that doesn’t mean you should take them both. No matter the value, you’re also likely cannibalizing points, so any gains made below a certain price point – the point where production and cost intersect – can be lost if production declines overall as well.
There are many things that determine value: The player’s history (both short and long-term), the price, recent production, opponent, line matching at even-strength, power play time and injuries are just some of the factors to consider. The “Top Value” doesn’t necessarily mean the cheapest player, either.
Finally, as far as goalies go, it’s the one position I’ll pay through the nose for if I really like the match-up. The same applies for back-ups with good match-ups. In a given night, with a full slate of games, I won’t have more than three different goalies across all my lineups, usually two. I’ll name the goalies I like specifically in the match-ups they appear in.
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Here is today’s slate of games (and DraftStreet values). Reminder: check Left Wing Lock for up-to-the-minute information on starting goalies.
Games are color-coded as follows:
Green means load up. Yellow means grab a couple of players. Red means value plays only.
Edmonton Oilers at Buffalo Sabres
Edmonton had its three-game winning streak halted on Saturday with a 4-0 loss at the hands of the Bruins. To say that their defense has been questionable recently is an understatement: Edmonton has allowed 100 shots on goal in their last two games.
Since the start of calendar year, the Oilers are 1-6-1 on the road and have allowed 33 goals against in those eight games (with only 15 goals for). It should be noted as well that even though Nail Yakupov has been on the second line for a while, he was not getting double-shifted in the third period of the Boston game like his line mates Sam Gagner and David Perron were. It seems like Yak City has again lost the confidence of his coach.
Buffalo took their worst loss of the season on Saturday with a 7-1 thrashing in Colorado at the hands of the Avalanche. I guess it was only a matter of time before something like that happened to this team; Buffalo has now been outshot by over a margin of 10, on average, over their last six games. When a team consistently gets killed like that on the shot chart, it’s going to catch up to them. If there’s a bright spot for this team right now it’s that they have converted for a power play goal in three straight games. That’s the second time in a month this team has done that after only doing it once in the first three months of the season.
This is a tough game to call because this is one of the Oilers’ opponents that they can actually dominate. I will avoid both goalies in this game because I don’t have a very good read on it, but will pick some value from the power play skaters.
|
Top RW Value |
Top LW Value |
Top C Value |
Top D Value |
Bargain Bin |
|
Matt D’Agostini (BUF) $5660 |
Jesse Joensuu |
(BUF) $8568 |
Justin Schultz $6764 |
Marcus Foligno $4393 |
