I generally do not pick two players playing against each other in the same game for a daily fantasy hockey lineup. The same applies for a goalie and a player from opposite teams. You might see two players among the “value picks” from opposite teams, but that doesn’t mean you should take them both. No matter the value, you’re also likely cannibalizing points, so any gains made below a certain price point – the point where production and cost intersect – can be lost if production declines overall as well.
There are many things that determine value: The player’s history (both short and long-term), the price, recent production, opponent, line matching at even-strength, power play time and injuries are just some of the factors to consider. The “Top Value” doesn’t necessarily mean the cheapest player, either.
Finally, as far as goalies go, it’s the one position I’ll pay through the nose for if I really like the match-up. The same applies for back-ups with good match-ups. In a given night, with a full slate of games, I won’t have more than three different goalies across all my lineups, usually two. I’ll name the goalies I like specifically in the match-ups they appear in.
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Here is today’s slate of games (and DraftStreet values). Reminder: check Left Wing Lock for up-to-the-minute information on starting goalies.
Games are color-coded as follows:
Green means stack for GPPs. Yellow means targets for cash games. Red means value plays only.
Montreal Canadiens at Ottawa Senators
The Habs had their five game winning streak snapped a couple of nights ago against the Tampa Bay Lightning, and it was really just a matter of time: The team’s rolling possession rates had been coming down for a couple of weeks so they were riding percentages and not possession. This is a team that relies on goaltending and power play and while they’ve gotten lots of the first, the second is starting to falter: the Habs have gone 12 straight power plays without converting. One interesting name is Nathan Beaulieu, who was called up by the Habs and is probably their fourth-best defensemen on most nights.
Ottawa’s loss to the New York Islanders on Wednesday was the final nail in the coffin to their playoff hopes, which means the team that gives up the second most shots on goal per game in the NHL (yes, more than Buffalo) now has nothing to play for. It should be interesting to see how this team reacts given the situation. They have averaged over 36 shots a game against in their last five games as it is, so a low-scoring game this should not be.
In four games between these two teams this year, there has been 30 total goals scored (7.5 per game). I would not be looking to stack either side because this will probably be a defense-optional game. I would be looking to grab a player or two and leaving the goalies alone.
|
Top RW Value |
Top LW Value |
Top C Value |
Top D Value |
Bargain Bin |
|
(OTT) $7437 |
(MTL) $11,822 |
(MTL) $8570 |
(OTT) $7668 |
(MTL) $4861 |
