- Fantasy Football: 2014 Kings of Consistency - Jan 8, 2015
- Fantasy Football Week 16 Worksheet - Dec 18, 2014
- Fantasy Football Week 15 Worksheet - Dec 11, 2014
Week 12 is the final week with teams on a bye, and hopefully you’re ready to put a bow on clinching a first round playoff bye in your fantasy leagues. Let’s hit the 15 games in week 12 bullet point style….
|41.6%||Opp. Rush %||50.1%|
|58.4%||Opp. Pass %||49.9%|
- Oakland has scored a touchdown on just five of their past 54 offensive drives (nine percent). Lowest percentage in the league over the past four weeks.
- The Raiders season high for rushing attempts in a game this season is 22 back in week 3.
- The Raiders have 630 rushing yards as a team, the 5th fewest through 11 weeks since the NFL merger in 1970. Their previous franchise low through 11 weeks was 768 yards in 2004.
- No team faces more rushing attempts per game (33.9) than Oakland. Kansas City attempts the second fewest passes per game (29.1) in the league.
- After attempting 30 or more passes in 11 of his first 12 games in Kansas City, Alex Smith has hit that total in just four of his past 13 games.
- Last season versus the Raiders, Jamaal Charles had 343 total yards and seven touchdowns, including an eight-catch, 195-yard game week 15 in Oakland.
- Charles has scored once every 15.5 touches this season, the best of all backs with 100 or more touches.
- The season high for passing yards against Kansas City is 266 yards by Jake Locker all the way back in week 1.
- The Chiefs have allowed eight touchdowns to opposing tight ends, but only two to reach 50 receiving yards and only one to reach four receptions in a game.
- Derek Carr has topped 6.5 Y/A in a game only once this season.
Trust: Jamaal Charles
Bust: Derek Carr, James Jones, Andre Holmes, Darren McFadden, Mychal Rivera
Reasonable Return: Dwayne Bowe, Alex Smith, Travis Kelce
|40.5%||Opp. Rush %||38.9%|
|59.5%||Opp. Pass %||61.1%|
- The Bills are allowing only 4.6 yards per pass attempt the past four weeks, lowest in the league.
- The average weekly quarterback finish facing the Jets is 9.3, highest in the league.
- New York has allowed five top six weekly quarterbacks, most in the league.
- Buffalo has allowed 125 or more rushing yards in four consecutive games after holding their first six opponents under 90 yards on the ground.
- The Bills have faced only four rushing attempts inside their 5-yard line this season, fewest in the league.
- Eric Decker hasn’t reached 70 receiving yards in a game since week 1.
Trust: Kyle Orton, Sammy Watkins
Bust: Fred Jackson, Mike Vick, Jace Amaro
Reasonable Return: Chris Ivory, Percy Harvin, Eric Decker, Robert Woods
|44.4%||Opp. Rush %||45.5%|
|55.6%||Opp. Pass %||54.5%|
- Brain Hoyer is fourth in the league with 23 completions of 25 or more yards.
- Atlanta has allowed four top 12 scoring quarterbacks over their past five games.
- Atlanta has allowed seven 100-yard receivers this season and one in each of their past three games.
- Isaiah Crowell ranks second behind only Jamaal Charles in rushing points per attempt (0.84) of all backs with at least 75 carries. Terrance West ranks 25th at 0.53.
- Crowell has 13 runs of 10 or more yards on 78 carries while West has six on 112 attempts.
- Atlanta has allowed 36 rushing plays inside the 10-yard line this season; second most in the league (Oakland 37).
- Matt Ryan‘s finishes in the Georgia Dome this season have been QB1, QB4, and QB21. The highest scoring quarterback facing Cleveland this season has been QB12 (Ben Roethlisberger week 1).
- Julio Jones had 12 receptions of 20 or more yards through the first five games, he has six over his past five.
- The Falcons have gained 30 or more yards on one offensive play since week 7.
Trust: Isaiah Crowell, Brian Hoyer, Roddy White
Bust: Jordan Cameron
Reasonable Return: Julio Jones, Josh Gordon, Andrew Hawkins, Terrance West, Matt Ryan, Steven Jackson
|44.2%||Opp. Rush %||42.3%|
|55.8%||Opp. Pass %||57.7%|
- Opponents have scored on 50 percent (51 of 102) of their drives this season facing Chicago, highest percentage in the league.
- Mike Evans has accounted for 37.8 percent of the Tampa Bay quarterback passing points, highest percentage of any receiver for his team.
- Evans is only the second Buccaneer receiver to have three consecutive games with 100 yards receiving and a touchdown (Antonio Bryant).
- Evans has seven receptions of 25 or more yards the past three weeks, most in the league.
- Vincent Jackson has scored once every 47 targets this season, which ranks 47th of the top 50 scorers at wide receiver.
- Charles Sims had a touch on 51.6 percent of his snaps last week, Bobby Rainey just 22.7 percent.
- Jay Cutler is tied for the league lead with nine games completing over 60 percent of his passes.
- Cutler’s 67 percent completion percentage is above his career mark of 61.6 and his 2013 mark of 63.1 percent, which was a career high.
- Cutler also is tied for the lead with five games throwing multiple interceptions.
- Matt Forte has five or more receptions in nine games this season, tied for second in the NFL. The next closest running back, Shane Vereen, has four.
- Through the first six games, Martellus Bennett received 20.9 percent of the Chicago targets. Over the past four weeks, he’s at 14.4 percent.
- Chicago has allowed 18 red zone passing touchdowns, most in the league.
Trust: Josh McCown, Mike Evans, Jay Cutler, Brandon Marshall, Matt Forte, Alshon Jeffery
Bust: Charles Sims, Martellus Bennett
Reasonable Return: Vincent Jackson, Austin Seferian-Jenkins
|43.2%||Opp. Rush %||39.9%|
|56.8%||Opp. Pass %||60.1%|
- A.J. Green has missed three entire games and nearly all of another and still accounts for 32.1 percent of the Bengal fantasy passing output, which ranks 10th at wide receiver.
- The Bengals are allowing 0.32 points per pass attempt to opposing quarterbacks, fewest in the league.
- Cincinnati has allowed a league low 11 touchdown passes.
- In his three starts, Jeremy Hill had 10 runs of 10 or more yards on 63 carries. Gio Bernard had nine such runs on 109 carries through seven weeks.
- Cincinnati has allowed just seven receptions for 98 yards and no touchdowns combined over their past four games to opposing tight ends.
- Alfred Blue‘s 156 rushing yards last week tied Steve Slaton for the most ever by a Texans rookie.
- Blue’s 36 carries were the most ever by a Houston running back, Arian Foster had 33 on two separate occasions, the last being in 2011.
- DeAndre Hopkins ranks 14th in points per target (2.01) while Andre Johnson ranks 48th (1.32).
- Houston has allowed 15 or more receptions to opposing receiver units in every game except one (Buffalo) this season.
Trust: A.J. Green, Jeremy Hill
Bust: Andre Johnson, Ryan Mallett, Gio Bernard
Reasonable Return: Andy Dalton, Mohamed Sanu, Alfred Blue, DeAndre Hopkins
|44.8%||Opp. Rush %||42.9%|
|55.2%||Opp. Pass %||57.1%|
- The Packers are averaging 7.4 yards per play over their past three games, most in the league.
- In his past 10 games facing the Vikings, Aaron Rodgers has thrown multiple touchdowns nine times, averaging 294.4 yards passing over those games with 28 touchdowns to only four interceptions.
- 67.2 percent of Aaron Rodgers’ fantasy passing output has gone to Jordy Nelson and Randall Cobb, the highest percentage of any duo for their quarterback in the league.
- Rodgers is third in passing points (215.9) yet 17th in pass attempts (313), below Brian Hoyer, Colin Kaepernick and Cam Newton.
- Minnesota quarterbacks have combined for 89.04 passing points and only 0.26 per attempt on the season, both lowest in the league.
- Randall Cobb has scored once every 7.4 targets this season, best in the league.
- Eddie Lacy has reached 15 carries or 70 rushing yards in a game only one time this season.
- Charles Johnson was targeted on 28 percent of his snaps last week, highest percentage in the league for week 11.
- Johnson’s 87 receiving yards last week were more than either Greg Jennings or Cordarrelle Patterson has had in a game this season.
Trust: Aaron Rodgers, Jordy Nelson, Randall Cobb
Bust: Teddy Bridgewater, Greg Jennings, Cordarrelle Patterson
Reasonable Return: Charles Johnson, Jerick McKinnon, Eddie Lacy
|37.7%||Opp. Rush %||40.5%|
|62.3%||Opp. Pass %||59.5%|
- Since week 5, New England has scored on 64 percent (41 of 64) of their drives, the highest mark in the league. League average over that stretch is 35 percent.
- Since week 4, Rob Gronkowski ranks 6th in receptions (40), 8th in receiving yards (587) and tied for third in receiving scores (6). That’s all come on 54 targets, which is the 16th most over that span.
- Gronkowski has been targeted on 28.9 percent of his routes this season, most of all tight ends in the league.
- Jonas Gray‘s 38 rushing attempts last week were the most by a Patriots running back since Curtis Martin (40) week 3 of 1997 and tied for the second most ever in franchise history.
- Detroit is the only team to allow 24 points or fewer in every game this season.
- Detroit is the best fantasy defense versus the run per attempt at 0.38 points per carry.
- The Lions have allowed only Chris Ivory (84 yards) to top 60 rushing yards this season.
- Golden Tate leads the league in third down receptions (25).
- Only three receivers have reached 70 receiving yards against the Lions this season.
- New England has allowed four consecutive top 12 scoring quarterbacks.
Trust: Rob Gronkowski, Shane Vereen, Golden Tate, Matt Stafford
Bust: Jonas Gray, Reggie Bush, Brandon LaFell
Reasonable Return: Tom Brady, Julian Edelman, Calvin Johnson, Joique Bell
|47.3%||Opp. Rush %||41.1%|
|52.7%||Opp. Pass %||58.9%|
- The Eagles have turned the ball over on 19 percent (24 of 125) of their possessions this season, highest mark in the league.
- Nine of the 10 quarterbacks to face Philadelphia have finished as QB14 or higher.
- Mark Sanchez is averaging 0.50 passing points per attempt. Nick Foles was at 0.38 before his injury.
- Tennessee has allowed just two top 10 quarterbacks all season.
- LeSean McCoy ranks 47th in points per attempt (0.43) of all backs in the top 50 scorers.
- The Titans have allowed a top 5 running back in three consecutive weeks.
- Philadelphia has allowed 10 touchdowns on completions of 25 plus yards, most in the league.
- The Eagles have allowed eight 100-yard receivers this season, most in the league.
- Justin Hunter has played 94 percent of the snaps since week 5, but has just 16 percent of the team targets over that span.
- Kendall Wright has six or more receptions in three games this season, he had nine such games in 2013.
- Wright has yet to top 70 yards receiving on the season.
Trust: LeSean McCoy, Zach Mettenberger, Justin Hunter
Bust: Bishop Sankey, Zach Ertz, Riley Cooper
Reasonable Return: Jordan Matthews, Jeremy Maclin, Mark Sanchez, Kendall Wright
|43.3%||Opp. Rush %||38.6%|
|56.7%||Opp. Pass %||61.4%|
- The Colts have allowed a touchdown on 15 of their opponents’ past 35 drives (43 percent), largest percentage over the past four weeks.
- Indianapolis has had 46 drives that have gained 50 or more yards on the season, most in the league. The Jaguars have allowed 36 such drives, tied for the 4th most in the league.
- Over the four games before last week’s bye, Robinson was third in the NFL in rushing yards (389), YPC (5.4) and rushing scores (4) while fourth in fantasy points of all backs during that stretch.
- During those weeks, Robinson has handled four of the six team rushing attempts inside the 10-yard line, converting three for touchdowns.
- Indianapolis is allowing 0.75 points per rushing attempt (most in the league) but have only seen 244 attempts (5th fewest) on the season.
- Since week 6, Cecil Shorts has 26 percent of the Jaguar targets (47 total) with five or more receptions in three of those five games.
- Shorts also has 44 percent of the team red zone targets (seven) over that stretch, but has yet to convert one for a score.
- Blake Bortles has thrown an interception in eight straight games, longest active streak and longest in Jacksonville franchise history by three games.
- Trent Richardson hasn’t rushed for 80 yards in a game since week 11 of 2012 (29 games played).
Trust: Andrew Luck, T.Y. Hilton, Coby Fleener, Cecil Shorts, Denard Robinson
Bust: Trent Richardson, Allen Hurns
Reasonable Return: Reggie Wayne, Blake Bortles, Dan Herron
|43.3%||Opp. Rush %||41.2%|
|56.7%||Opp. Pass %||58.8%|
- San Diego ranks last in points per offensive play (0.194) over their past three games.
- The Chargers have scored a touchdown on just one of their past 24 possessions and have scored on just six of their past 35 drives (17 percent), lowest mark in the league over the past four weeks.
- St. Louis is allowing just 1.3 red zone trips per game over the past three weeks, lowest in the league.
- The Rams have scored a touchdown on just five of their 57 second half drives this season, worst in the league.
- The seven points allowed last week by the Rams were the lowest total they had allowed in 36 games.
- After allowing 120 or more rushing yards in six of their first seven games, St. Louis has allowed only 136 combined rushing yards over the past three weeks.
- It’s the first time in franchise history they have held back-to-back opponents under 30 yards rushing.
- San Diego is the worst rushing team for fantasy per attempt at 0.38 points per carry.
- Keenan Allen averaged double-digit yards per reception in 13 of 15 games as a rookie. This season, he has just three games averaging 10 or more yards per catch.
- Tre Mason leads all backs with a rushing attempt on 52 percent of his snaps.
Trust: Tre Mason
Bust: Antonio Gates, Ryan Mathews
Reasonable Return: Philip Rivers, Keenan Allen, Malcom Floyd, Kenny Britt
|36.6%||Opp. Rush %||42.6%|
|63.4%||Opp. Pass %||57.4%|
- The Cardinals have rushed for 75 yards or fewer in five of their past seven games.
- Seattle has allowed 73.8 rushing yards per game at home as opposed to 107.8 per game on the road this season.
- Prior to the Cardinals week 4 bye, Andre Ellington‘s PPR finishes were RB29, RB28 and RB26. Since then, he’s finished as the RB5, RB12, RB6, RB14, RB7, RB13 and RB22.
- Marhawn Lynch leads all backs with 23 rushing attempts inside the 10-yard line this season, Arizona has faced just 12 rushes inside the 10, second fewest in the league (Buffalo 9).
- Lynch and Russell Wilson each have 13 carries for 10 yards or more over the past four weeks, tied for the league lead.
- Wilson’s rushing yards through 10 games: 189 (2012), 395 (2013) and 571 (2014).
- Wilson’s 571 rushing yards are the 5th most ever by a quarterback through 10 games (Mike Vick 704 yards in 2006).
- Arizona hasn’t allowed a 100-yard rusher since week 6 of last season.
- Seattle has allowed double-digit receptions to opposing receiver units in only one of their past six games.
Trust: Russell Wilson
Bust: Michael Floyd, Larry Fitzgerald
Reasonable Return: Marshawn Lynch, Doug Baldwin, Andre Ellington, John Brown
|38.3%||Opp. Rush %||33.0%|
|61.7%||Opp. Pass %||67.0%|
- Miami leads the league in red zone trips per game at 4.9 per game.
- Denver ran a pass play on 85 percent of their plays last week in St. Louis. Their 10 rushing attempts were the lowest by the franchise since 2008.
- Peyton Manning‘s lowest weekly finish this season has been QB11; the Dolphins have allowed only two top 10 quarterbacks this season.
- Demaryius Thomas has seven straight games with seven receptions and 100 receiving yards, which broke the record of six games held by Isaac Bruce in 1995.
- Wes Welker has been targeted on 14.6 percent of his routes, which ranks 79th at wide receiver.
- Ryan Tannehill has thrown for under 250 passing yards in seven of 10 games this season with no 300 yard games.
- Lamar Miller has finished as a top 18 scorer in eight of his past nine games.
Trust: Demaryius Thomas, C.J. Anderson
Bust: Mike Wallace, Wes Welker, Jacob Tamme
Reasonable Return: Peyton Manning, Lamar Miller, Ryan Tannehill, Charles Clay
|42.9%||Opp. Rush %||37.6%|
|57.1%||Opp. Pass %||62.4%|
- San Francisco leads the league with 10 takeaways over the past three weeks.
- The 49ers have scored on just 12 of their 52 second half possessions this season (23 percent), lowest percentage in the league.
- San Francisco is allowing the league’s lowest completion percentage at 57.3 percent.
- After scoring six rushing touchdowns in his first six career games, Robert Griffin hasn’t rushed for a touchdown in 13 games and has just one in his past 22 games.
- San Francisco has held seven of 10 quarterbacks they’ve faced to less than 6.5 yards per attempt.
- Washington has allowed four top six scoring quarterbacks, tied for the second most in the league.
- After averaging 18.7 points per game through six games, Colin Kaepernick is averaging just 13.0 per game over his past four.
- Alfred Morris‘ past three finishes have been RB13, RB5 and RB11. San Francisco has allowed just three top 12 backs this season.
Trust: Colin Kaepernick, Anquan Boldin
Bust: Robert Griffin, Pierre Garcon, Alfred Morris, Vernon Davis
Reasonable Return: Frank Gore, Michael Crabtree, DeSean Jackson
|41.5%||Opp. Rush %||46.6%|
|58.5%||Opp. Pass %||53.4%|
- The Giants have allowed an average of 191 rushing yards over the past five weeks with an average of 5.4 yards per carry with four of those teams topping 140 yards in the game.
- Rueben Randle has nine or more targets in eight consecutive weeks and is tied for the third most red zone targets (18) in the entire league.
- New York is allowing 6.2 yards per play on defense, most in the league.
- Tony Romo currently has his highest completion percentage (68.8) since 2010, his highest touchdown percentage (6.7) since 2007 and his highest yards per attempt (8.3) since 2006.
- Romo has thrown multiple touchdowns in six of his past seven facing the Giants.
- Dez Bryant scored five touchdowns in his first three career games against the Giants, but has been held out of the end zone in his past six games facing them.
- DeMarco Murray has 27 receptions since week 5, fourth most of all running backs.
- The Giants have allowed just six red zone passing touchdowns, fewest in the league.
Trust: DeMarco Murray, Tony Romo, Rashad Jennings, Larry Donnell
Bust: Jason Witten, Terrance Williams
Reasonable Return: Dez Bryant, Rueben Randle, Odell Beckham, Eli Manning
|38.7%||Opp. Rush %||42.7%|
|61.3%||Opp. Pass %||57.3%|
- Drew Brees’ fantasy output distribution: Jimmy Graham (27.4 percent), Brandin Cooks (17.9), Kenny Stills (12.9) and Marques Colston (11.9).
- Brees’ 4.6 touchdown percent would be his lowest since 2007 if it holds.
- Colston has finished inside the top 40 scoring wide receivers just twice all season and inside the top 30 just once.
- Torrey Smith has scored six touchdowns in his past seven games.
- 33.5 percent of Smith’s points have come from touchdowns, the second highest dependency in the league (Terrance Williams).
- Steve Smith is tied with Larry Fitzgerald for most red zone targets (11) without a score.
- Mark Ingram has 23 more carries (104 total) than the next closest back (Andre Ellington) over the past four weeks.
- Ingram is the first Saints player to have 20 or more carries in four consecutive games since Deuce McAllister in 2005.
- Baltimore has allowed just 244 rushing yards on 83 carries (2.9 YPC) to opposing running backs over their past four games.
- The last time the Saints lost three consecutive games at home was 2007.
Trust: Joe Flacco, Justin Forsett, Jimmy Graham
Bust: Mark Ingram, Marques Colston, Owen Daniels
Reasonable Return: Drew Brees, Kenny Stills, Torrey Smith, Steve Smith
Trust = Set him in your lineups this week
Bust = Player to underperform season average
Reasonable Return = On par with seasonal average
*Statistics provided by ProFootballFocus, Pro-Football-Reference, NFLData.com. All Vegas Lines Provided by 5Dimes
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